Next Australian Federal Election

Primary vote over time

i

Primary vote

i

2026

121 polls

DateFirmClientModeNPrimaryTCP
ALPLIBNATGRNONPOTHALPL/NPONP
15–21 SeptYouGovNews24Online1,500
26%
21%
14%
27%
12%
52%
48%
—
55%
—
45%
14–20 SeptRoy Morgan—Online1,561
25%
21.5%
15.5%
25.5%
12.5%
53%
47%
—
54%
—
46%
14–17 SeptNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,244
27%
19%
13%
30%
11%
—
—
—
10–14 SeptDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,583
28%
20%
13%
26%
13%
—
—
—
7–13 SeptRoy Morgan—Online1,583
25%
19%
2.5%
16%
25%
12.5%
55%
45%
—
54.5%
—
45.5%
6–12 SeptResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online2,256
28%
24%
11%
27%
9%
—
—
—
1–8 SeptYouGovNews24Online1,500
26%
18%
12%
30%
14%
52%
48%
—
53%
—
47%
31 Aug – 6 SeptRoy Morgan—Online1,541
27%
17%
4.5%
14.5%
26.5%
10.5%
53%
47%
—
53.5%
—
46.5%
26–31 AugEssentialThe GuardianOnline1,050
26%
26%
13%
23%
11%
47.4%
52.6%
—
24–30 AugRoy Morgan—Online1,585
29.5%
18%
2.5%
13.5%
23.5%
13%
56%
44%
—
55.5%
—
44.5%
24–28 AugNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,243
29%
19%
13%
30%
9%
—
—
—
24–28 AugRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,006
29%
22%
12%
28%
9%
48%
52%
—
52%
—
48%
18–24 AugYouGovNews24Online1,510
29%
21%
12%
26%
12%
53%
47%
—
56%
—
44%
17–23 AugRoy Morgan—Online1,508
27%
18.5%
2.5%
14%
27%
11%
52%
48%
—
53%
—
47%
18–20 AugDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,562
26%
25%
12%
24%
13%
—
—
—
11–16 AugRoy Morgan—Online1,576
28.5%
21%
2.5%
12.5%
25%
10.5%
52%
48%
—
53%
—
47%
9–15 AugResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online2,256
28%
23%
12%
26%
11%
—
—
—
4–10 AugYouGovNews24Online1,500
28%
22%
12%
24%
14%
52%
48%
—
56%
—
44%
3–9 AugRoy Morgan—Online1,647
25.5%
18.5%
3.5%
15.5%
26%
11%
53%
47%
—
53%
—
47%
3–7 AugNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,242
29%
18%
14%
29%
10%
—
—
—
27 Jul–2 AugRoy Morgan—Online1,531
27.5%
20%
3.5%
15%
24%
10%
52%
48%
—
54%
—
46%
27–30 JulRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,001
29%
22%
10%
31%
8%
48%
52%
—
53%
—
47%
21–28 JulYouGovNews24Online1,500
28%
22%
13%
25%
12%
53%
47%
—
56%
—
44%
22–27 JulEssentialThe GuardianOnline1,060
31%
22%
12%
25%
10%
50.5%
49.5%
—
20–26 JulRoy Morgan—Online1,643
27.5%
18.5%
3.5%
14%
25.5%
11%
54%
46%
—
53.5%
—
46.5%
11–23 JulSpectre Strategy—Online1,434
28%
23%
12%
26%
11%
51%
49%
—
54%
—
46%
13–19 JulRoy Morgan—Online1,679
27.5%
20.5%
2.5%
14%
22.5%
13%
56%
44%
—
55%
—
45%
13–16 JulNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,238
30%
19%
12%
30%
9%
—
—
—
7–14 JulYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
28%
20%
12%
26%
14%
53%
47%
—
56%
—
44%
6–12 JulRoy Morgan—Online1,612
27.5%
17.5%
2.5%
12.5%
28%
12%
54%
46%
—
52.5%
—
47.5%
6–11 JulResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online2,252
28%
23%
12%
26%
11%
—
—
—
3–8 JulDemosAUCapital BriefOnline2,694
26%
21%
14%
29%
10%
—
—
—
28 Jun – 5 JulRoy Morgan—Online1,584
28%
19%
2.5%
14%
22.5%
14%
55%
45%
—
56%
—
44%
23–30 JunYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,502
29%
17%
13%
30%
11%
54%
46%
—
54%
—
46%
24–29 JunEssentialThe GuardianOnline1,017
30%
23%
10%
26%
10%
48.9%
51.1%
—
22–28 JunRoy Morgan—Online1,639
28%
19%
2.5%
13%
26%
11.5%
53.5%
46.5%
—
53%
—
47%
22–26 JunRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,006
30%
18%
14%
29%
9%
54%
46%
—
56%
—
44%
22–25 JunNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,235
33%
17%
13%
29%
8%
—
—
—
15–21 JunRoy Morgan—Online1,575
27%
15%
2.5%
13.5%
31.5%
10.5%
54%
46%
—
51%
—
49%
16–18 JunDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,497
27%
18%
13%
30%
12%
—
—
—
9–16 JunYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
26%
21%
13%
28%
12%
52%
48%
—
52%
—
48%
8–14 JunRoy Morgan—Online1,583
28%
15%
2%
14%
29.5%
11.5%
54.5%
45.5%
—
53%
—
47%
8–13 JunResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,801
28%
20%
12%
29%
12%
—
—
—
1–7 JunRoy Morgan—Online1,631
26%
14.5%
3%
15.5%
29.5%
11.5%
56%
44%
—
53.5%
—
46.5%
1–4 JunNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,240
30%
18%
11%
31%
10%
—
—
—
26 May – 2 JunYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,471
26%
20%
13%
29%
12%
51.5%
48.5%
—
52.5%
—
47.5%
25–31 MayRoy Morgan—Online1,542
27%
17.5%
2.5%
13.5%
27%
12.5%
55.5%
44.5%
—
53.5%
—
46.5%
25–28 MayRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,005
28%
20%
12%
31%
9%
51%
49%
—
51%
—
49%
25–26 MayFox & HedgehogThe Daily TelegraphOnline1,700
29%
25%
10%
27%
9%
49%
51%
—
54%
—
46%
—
58%
42%
22–26 MayAgenda C SynesisFair Go AustraliaOnline1,232
29%
18%
10%
24%
19%
—
—
—
20–25 MayEssentialThe GuardianOnline1,027
29%
23%
11%
28%
9%
50.5%
49.5%
—
18–24 MayRoy Morgan—Online1,613
27.5%
21%
2%
13.5%
25.5%
10.5%
53%
47%
—
53.5%
—
46.5%
15–20 MayDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,502
26%
23%
13%
28%
10%
—
—
—
12–19 MayYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
28%
23%
13%
25%
11%
52%
48%
—
53%
—
47%
14–17 MayNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,252
31%
20%
12%
27%
10%
—
—
—
11–17 MayRoy Morgan—Online1,668
29.5%
21%
3%
11.5%
24.5%
10.5%
54%
46%
—
54%
—
46%
13–16 MayResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,800
29%
23%
12%
24%
12%
—
—
—
13–15 MayFreshwaterThe ChronicleOnline1,384
29%
25%
11%
26%
9%
—
—
—
13–14 MayRoy Morgan—SMS2,348
28.5%
16.5%
11.5%
32%
11.5%
55%
45%
—
51%
—
49%
—
49%
51%
29 Apr – 14 MayRedBridge/Accent (MRP)Australian Financial ReviewOnline6,015
31%
21%
11%
28%
9%
—
—
—
13 MayWolf & SmithAmplifyOnline1,002
30%
24%
11%
22%
13%
—
—
—
4–10 MayRoy Morgan—Online1,605
30.5%
21%
4%
11.5%
22%
11%
53.5%
46.5%
—
28 Apr–5 MayYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
30%
21%
14%
24%
11%
54%
46%
—
57%
—
43%
27 Apr–3 MayRoy Morgan—Online1,681
29.5%
21%
3%
13%
21.5%
12%
54.5%
45.5%
—
24–30 AprRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,014
31%
22%
13%
27%
7%
54%
46%
—
55%
—
45%
28–30 AprFreshwaterThe Courier MailOnline1,046
32%
23%
12%
25%
8%
53%
47%
—
22–27 AprEssentialThe GuardianOnline1,002
30%
24%
11%
25%
10%
49%
51%
—
20–26 AprRoy Morgan—Online1,587
30%
19%
3.5%
14%
22.5%
11%
54.5%
45.5%
—
14–21 AprYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
27%
20%
14%
27%
12%
53%
47%
—
52%
—
48%
13–19 AprRoy Morgan—Online1,620
30.5%
19.5%
3.5%
13.5%
21.5%
11.5%
55.5%
44.5%
—
13–16 AprNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,235
31%
21%
13%
24%
11%
—
—
—
13–18 AprResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,807
32%
23%
12%
22%
11%
55%
45%
—
9–14 AprDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,439
26%
23%
13%
26%
12%
—
—
—
6–12 AprRoy Morgan—Online1,512
30%
19.5%
3%
12.5%
24.5%
10.5%
56%
44%
—
2–8 AprSpectre Strategy—Online1,002
28%
24%
12%
26%
10%
51%
49%
—
52%
—
48%
31 Mar – 7 AprYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
30%
20%
13%
25%
13%
55%
45%
—
55%
—
45%
30 Mar–5 AprRoy Morgan—Online1,411
30.5%
20%
4%
12%
21.5%
12%
56%
44%
—
27–29 MarFreshwaterNews AustraliaOnline1,050
32%
23%
12%
25%
8%
51%
49%
—
55%
—
45%
23–29 MarRoy Morgan—Online1,562
30%
19.5%
3%
13.5%
23.5%
10.5%
56.5%
43.5%
—
23–27 MarRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,003
32%
17%
13%
29%
9%
53%
47%
—
53%
—
47%
23–26 MarNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,232
31%
21%
12%
26%
10%
—
—
—
24–25 MarFox & Hedgehog—Online1,810
30%
23%
13%
23%
11%
51%
49%
—
56%
—
44%
—
60%
40%
17–24 MarYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
29%
19%
13%
27%
12%
54%
46%
—
53%
—
47%
18–23 MarEssential—Online1,008
31%
24%
10%
24%
12%
49.5%
50.5%
—
16–22 MarRoy Morgan—Online1,664
27%
21.5%
4%
13.5%
23.5%
10.5%
52.5%
47.5%
—
12–19 MarYouGovThe Australia InstituteOnline1,502
28%
21%
13%
26%
11%
—
—
—
9–15 MarRoy Morgan—Online1,649
28.5%
20.5%
3.5%
12.5%
22.5%
12.5%
54%
46%
—
9–14 MarResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,803
29%
22%
12%
24%
13%
—
—
—
3–10 MarYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
30%
19%
13%
26%
12%
55%
45%
—
55%
—
45%
2–8 MarRoy Morgan—Online1,532
26.5%
22.5%
14.5%
23.5%
13%
54.5%
45.5%
—
13 Jan – 3 MarDemosAU (MRP)—Online8,424
29%
21%
12%
27%
11%
—
—
—
23 Feb – 1 MarRoy Morgan—Online1,554
30.5%
23.5%
11.5%
22%
12.5%
56%
44%
—
23–27 FebRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,006
32%
13%
2%
12%
28%
9%
54%
46%
—
54%
—
46%
23–26 FebNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,237
32%
20%
11%
27%
10%
—
—
—
17–24 FebYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
29%
15%
2%
13%
24%
12%
53%
47%
—
56%
—
44%
18–23 FebEssentialThe GuardianOnline1,002
30%
26%
11%
22%
11%
49.5%
50.5%
—
16–22 FebRoy Morgan—Online1,649
31%
24%
12.5%
20.5%
12%
54%
46%
—
16–20 FebDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,551
29%
21%
12%
28%
10%
—
—
—
17–19 FebFox & HedgehogThe Daily TelegraphOnline1,625
30%
24%
12%
25%
9%
51%
49%
—
53%
—
47%
—
57%
43%
13–16 FebRoy Morgan—Online526
32%
23.5%
12.5%
21.5%
10.5%
55%
45%
—
8–14 FebResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,717
32%
23%
11%
23%
12%
55%
45%
—
9–13 FebRoy Morgan—Online1,216
30.5%
20%
13%
25%
11.5%
58.5%
41.5%
—
8–12 FebResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,717
31%
20%
12%
25%
13%
55%
45%
—
6–12 FebRedBridge/AccentThe Australia InstituteOnline2,010
34%
17%
11%
28%
10%
—
—
—
3–10 FebYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,561
30%
14%
1%
12%
28%
11%
54%
46%
—
55%
—
45%
5–8 FebNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,234
33%
15%
3%
12%
27%
10%
—
—
—
2–8 FebRoy Morgan—Online1,584
28.5%
22.5%
13.5%
24.5%
11%
53.5%
46.5%
—
26 Jan – 1 FebRoy Morgan—Online1,401
30.5%
18%
2.5%
12.5%
25%
11.5%
56%
44%
—
22–29 JanRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,003
34%
13%
2%
11%
26%
10%
56%
44%
—
20–27 JanYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,500
31%
14%
2%
12%
25%
12%
55%
45%
—
57%
—
43%
19–25 JanRoy Morgan—Online1,933
30.5%
20%
2.5%
13%
22.5%
11.5%
56.5%
43.5%
—
20–23 JanEssentialThe GuardianOnline1,022
31%
25%
9%
22%
13%
—
—
—
13–21 JanDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,933
30%
21%
13%
24%
12%
—
—
—
16–18 JanFreshwaterHerald SunOnline1,050
33%
28%
11%
19%
9%
53%
47%
—
57%
—
43%
12–18 JanRoy Morgan—Online1,630
28.5%
22%
2%
13.5%
21%
13%
53.5%
46.5%
—
12–16 JanResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,800
30%
28%
10%
18%
14%
52%
48%
—
12–16 JanNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,224
32%
21%
12%
22%
13%
55%
45%
—
5–11 JanRoy Morgan—Online1,676
30%
28%
2.5%
13.5%
15%
11%
52%
48%
—
5–6 JanFox & HedgehogThe Daily TelegraphOnline1,608
29%
25%
14%
21%
11%
53%
47%
—
56%
—
44%
—
63%
37%
5–6 JanDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,027
29%
23%
12%
23%
13%
52%
48%
—
50%
—
50%
3 May 2025ElectionElectionElectionElection
34.6%
31.8%
12.2%
6.4%
15%
55.2%
44.8%
—

2025

44 polls

DateFirmClientModeNPrimaryTCP
ALPL/NPGRNONPINDOTHALPL/NP
16–23 DecYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,869
30%
24%
13%
20%
7%
6%
—
—
17–20 DecResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,010
32%
28%
12%
16%
8%
4%
54%
46%
8–14 DecRoy Morgan—Online1,574
30.5%
27.5%
13%
17%
12%
54.5%
45.5%
5–12 DecRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,012
35%
26%
13%
17%
9%
56%
44%
3–8 DecEssential—Online1,300
34%
26%
10%
17%
12%
52.1%
47.9%
2–7 DecResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,800
35%
26%
11%
14%
8%
6%
55%
45%
26 Nov – 2 DecYouGovSky News AustraliaOnline1,605
32%
24%
13%
19%
6%
—
—
7–26 NovRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline4,775
35%
26%
10%
18%
11%
54%
46%
19–24 NovEssential—Online1,020
36%
27%
11%
15%
13%
53.2%
46.8%
17–20 NovNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,245
36%
24%
13%
15%
12%
58%
42%
12–17 NovYouGov (MRP)Climate CouncilOnline3,530
34%
26%
12%
18%
5%
—
—
4–17 NovSpectre StrategyThe Daily TelegraphOnline1,007
33%
25%
12.5%
17.5%
12%
53%
47%
20 Oct – 16 NovRoy Morgan—Online5,248
33%
27%
12.5%
14%
13.5%
56.5%
43.5%
7–13 NovRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,011
38%
24%
9%
18%
11%
56%
44%
5 Oct – 11 NovDemosAU (MRP)—Online6,928
33%
24%
13%
17%
13%
56%
44%
4–8 NovResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,804
33%
29%
12%
12%
7%
6%
53%
47%
27–30 OctNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,265
36%
24%
11%
15%
14%
57%
43%
23–30 OctYouGovThe Australia InstituteOnline4,578
33%
27%
12%
13%
7%
8%
56%
44%
22–27 OctEssential—Online1,041
36%
26%
9%
15%
14%
53.2%
46.8%
15–20 OctFreshwaterThe Daily TelegraphOnline1,530
33%
31%
14%
10%
11%
55%
45%
22 Sep – 19 OctRoy Morgan—Online4,908
35%
27%
13%
12%
13%
57%
43%
7–12 OctResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,800
34%
28%
11%
12%
9%
7%
55%
45%
25 Sep – 7 OctRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,997
34%
29%
11%
14%
12%
54%
46%
29 Sep – 2 OctNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,264
37%
28%
12%
11%
12%
57%
43%
25–30 SepYouGov—Online1,329
34%
27%
12%
12%
8%
14%
56%
44%
24–29 SepEssential—Online1,001
35%
27%
11%
13%
14%
53.7%
46.3%
25 Aug – 21 SepRoy Morgan—Online5,084
34%
30%
12%
9.5%
14.5%
55.5%
44.5%
9–13 SepResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,800
35%
27%
11%
12%
9%
6%
55%
45%
8–11 SepNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,283
36%
27%
13%
10%
14%
58%
42%
19 Aug – 8 SepRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline5,326
35%
30%
11%
11%
13%
53.5%
46.5%
28 Jul – 24 AugRoy Morgan—Online5,001
34%
30%
12%
9%
15%
56.5%
43.5%
9–16 AugResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online1,800
37%
29%
12%
9%
8%
6%
59%
41%
11–14 AugNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,283
36%
30%
12%
9%
13%
56%
44%
18–30 JulWolf & SmithAustralian Financial ReviewOnline5,000
36%
30%
—
—
—
—
57%
43%
30 Jun – 27 JulRoy Morgan—Online5,159
36.5%
31%
12%
7%
13.5%
57%
43%
13–18 JulResolveSydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone & Online2,311
35%
29%
12%
8%
8%
56%
44%
14–17 JulNewspollThe AustralianOnline1,264
36%
29%
12%
8%
15%
57%
43%
5–6 JulDemosAU—Online1,199
36%
26%
14%
9%
15%
59%
41%
27 Jun – 1 JulSpectre Strategy—Online1,001
35.9%
31%
12.8%
7.9%
12.3%
56.5%
43.5%
19–30 JunRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline4,036
37%
31%
11%
9%
12%
55.5%
44.5%
23–29 JunRoy Morgan—Online1,522
36.5%
30.5%
12%
8.5%
12.5%
57.5%
42.5%
2–22 JunRoy Morgan—Online3,957
37.5%
31%
12%
6%
13.5%
58%
42%
5 May – 1 JunRoy Morgan—Online5,128
37%
31%
11.5%
6%
14.5%
58.5%
41.5%
3 MayElectionElectionElectionElection
34.6%
31.8%
12.2%
6.4%
7.4%
7.6%
55.2%
44.8%

Data via the Wikimedia API. Verify figures against original pollster releases before citing.