samuelvgates · 21 Sep 2026

Australia

Griffith Forecast for 2028 Election

My best estimate for Griffith. It's looking a bit more like Brisbane as a three-way race if Taylor can claw back some support from Pauline and sentiment against Albanese stays low.

Electorate forecast

Griffith

Federal

First preference

Eliminated now: OTH.

  • GRN32.8%
    +1.1%
  • ALP30.2%
    −4.3%
  • LIB27.6%
    +1.0%
  • ONP6.6%
    +4.1%
  • OTH2.8%
    −2.0%

Distributed preferences from OTH

Current composition (share of this candidate's bar):

OTH 100.0%
  • ALP
    10.2%
  • LIB
    10.7%
  • ONP
    34.6%
  • GRN
    44.5%

Total: 100.0%

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